Bitcoin : rien n'est décidé, le rebond peut casser (ça te concerne)
Bitcoin is experiencing a false rebound within a prolonged consolidation phase with no market resolution yet. The recent price movement liquidated short positions but failed to attract real spot market interest, leaving Bitcoin trapped between key resistance and support levels awaiting a decisive directional break.
Summary
The analyst examines Bitcoin's current market structure using orderflow data and open interest metrics. Bitcoin has rebounded strongly but remains constrained within a contraction zone between a peak and trough, with no structural resolution achieved. The spot market shows a total lack of real buyer or seller interest, while the derivatives market has been the primary arena for speculation and liquidation.
Yesterday's price action resulted in massive liquidations ($40 million on Bybit alone), primarily of short positions that had been aggressively opened on Sunday. However, this liquidation event was merely a mechanical clearing of positions rather than a sign of genuine bullish momentum. The market maker liquidated these shorts without breaking the established technical structure, leaving Bitcoin still within its consolidation boundaries.
The analyst emphasizes that institutional investors are not buying Bitcoin while the NASDAQ is declining, proving Bitcoin behaves as a tech asset rather than a safe-haven asset. Bitcoin's lack of AI narrative connection is causing it to be sidelined compared to other tech stocks. The analyst stresses that no meaningful market direction will emerge until Bitcoin breaks either the upper resistance near $67,500-$70,700 or the lower support near $62,200. If the lower support breaks, the target would be $55,775 (the 2024 low), with potential further downside to CME gaps around $40,000-$41,000. Ethereum and altcoins remain in similar consolidation patterns, all awaiting Bitcoin's directional resolution.
About this episode
🔥 8% sur tes dépôts avec OKX: https://my.okx.com/deposit-bonus?channelId=82780213 🚀 Accès 100% GRATUIT : Rapport COT - VIP - Ma formation complète: https://okx.letronefzco.com/ Le short squeeze de Bitcoin n'a toujours pas résolu la contraction en cours — le prix reste coincé entre le dernier creux ascendant et le dernier sommet descendant, confirmant qu'on est toujours dans ce triangle de compression. Ce squeeze pourrait n'avoir été qu'un faux mouvement haussier : le vrai mouvement, lui, peut arriver à tout moment. Ethereum consolide toujours et s'approche dangereusement de son niveau critique des 1 800 dollars. On analyse le flux d'ordres sur Bitcoin après ce short squeeze, les niveaux clés qui définissent cette contraction toujours active, et Ethereum face à ce seuil des 1 800 dollars qui devient de plus en plus préoccupant. Un short squeeze qui ne résout pas la compression de fond n'est qu'un mouvement à l'intérieur du triangle, pas une sortie — c'est une nuance importante que beaucoup confondent. Ça te concerne directement si tu es positionné : on vous donne les niveaux exacts qui confirmeraient la vraie résolution, haussière ou baissière, sur Bitcoin et Ethereum. --- ⏱️ CHAPITRES 00:00:00 Sommaire Crypto : Short squeeze du Bitcoin fini ? 00:00:10 OKX : 8% sur vos dépôts via mon lien 00:00:38 Rejoins mon VIP via OKX 00:00:53 Crypto : Analyse orderflow sur Bitcoin 00:05:00 Bitcoin toujours en contraction : niveaux clés 00:12:03 Crypto : Analyse Ethereum ETH 00:13:32 Outro : 8% Bonus sur OKX via mon Lien --- 📊 REJOINS-MOI SUR WEEX Jusqu'à 30 000 $ de bonus exclusifs (sans KYC) 👉 https://www.weex.com/fr/register?vipCode=letrone Accès 100% gratuit Algos + Mentorship + VIP Weex 👉 https://weex.letronefzco.com/fr/weex-vip 💰 BITGET — Jusqu'à 8 000 $ de bonus 👉 https://bonus.bitget.site/LeTrone --- #bitcoin #ethereum #crypto
Key Insights
- The spot market shows total lack of interest in Bitcoin, meaning there are no aggressive real buyers or sellers—only limit orders with very few market participants actually executing, which explains why the price stagnates despite strong rebound candles
- The market maker liquidated short positions that had been aggressively opened without breaking Bitcoin's technical structure, indicating this was a mechanical clearing rather than a genuine bullish impulse that would form a protected trough
- Bitcoin's recent decline from the NASDAQ crash proves it functions as a technology asset rather than a safe-haven asset, and is currently being sidelined because it lacks connection to the AI narrative that drives institutional interest
- Bitcoin will only achieve market resolution when it breaks either the upper boundary at $67,500-$70,700 or the lower boundary at $62,200; breaking below $62,200 would target $55,775 (2024 low) and potentially CME gaps below $40,000
- The weekly consolidation has persisted for three weeks within the same candle, forming a triangle pattern, indicating the market is exhausted and waiting for a new directional impulse that could extend through end of August or September
Topics
Transcript
[0:00] Bitcoin has triggered a strong rebound but it hasn't changed the market's contraction, and that's an important signal. We're going to take a look at the orderflow data and especially at the contraction of Bitcoin. Just before we begin, I'd like to remind you that OKX offers you 8 % on your deposits. I remind you that Binance no longer has authorization to operate in Europe. So now is a good time to switch to OKX. I'm putting all the campaign information on the screen. It's very simple, you register via the first link in the pinned comment and then you just have to activate the campaign on your OKX account from the website or from the mobile application.…
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