+2 MILLIARDS de Hausse pour Bitcoin !! que savent-ils !!? #bitcoin #crypto #analyse #btc
A $2 billion increase in Bitcoin options market open interest over 24 hours suggests informed traders are positioning bullishly ahead of CPI data release. The speaker analyzes this unusual activity as potential insider knowledge and discusses potential price targets and support levels.
Summary
The speaker reports a significant $2 billion surge in Bitcoin options market open interest (DEX data) within a 24-hour period. Prior to the CPI (Core PCE) economic data release scheduled for 2:30 PM, the market had been down 200 million in DEX positioning, but this reversed dramatically to +1.8 billion, resulting in the total 2 billion dollar increase. The speaker interprets this substantial and rapid shift as evidence that informed participants may have advance knowledge of market movements and are positioning accordingly. The analysis suggests this could trigger stop-loss orders at Monday's low around $85,200, potentially leading to an upward impulse. The speaker also mentions a possible target at the beginning of October to create a new high above $87,400. The underlying premise is that such a dramatic shift in options market positioning would not occur without significant informed conviction, implying that 'someone knows something' about upcoming price movements. The speaker invites viewers to subscribe to monitor developments together and emphasizes the importance of watching for recovery of stops below critical levels as a potential setup for the next upward move.
Key Insights
- The speaker observed a $2 billion increase in Bitcoin options market open interest over 24 hours, representing a swing from -200 million to +1.8 billion in DEX positioning
- The speaker interprets the dramatic shift in options positioning as evidence that informed traders have advance knowledge, stating 'there are clearly people who know something'
- The speaker identifies Monday's low at $85,200 as a critical stop-loss level that could trigger further upward movement if recovered
- The speaker cites early October and a level above $87,400 as potential targets for a new high, conditional on the current bullish positioning playing out
- The speaker attributes the timing of the options surge to the CPI (Core PCE) figures scheduled for 2:30 PM release, suggesting anticipatory positioning
Topics
Transcript
[0:00] plus $2 billion. Yes, you heard right, in 24 hours that's a $2 billion increase on the BTC options market. That's huge. So, what I track is what we call interesting data, it's the DEX. This is what allows me to know if the options market is more bullish or bearish on Bitcoin. And yesterday, we were down 200 million on this deck. This is before the publication of the Cor PCE figures, which will be released at 2:30 PM. We've gone up to +1.8 billion dollars. That's what makes it a 2 billion increase. So there are clearly people who are already aware and who have speculated on the rise of [0:30] BTC. So what it could do…
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