BITCOIN : ON TENTE DE LANCER LE BULL RUN AVEC CE SIGNAL ! #crypto #bitcoin #analyse #bullrun #btc
A Bitcoin analyst examines the $84,000 resistance level on CME futures, arguing that a true breakout requires acceleration through an order block formation. The analyst presents two scenarios: a bullish case targeting $100,000-$111,000 by year-end, or a bearish case where failure to break resistance could trigger a retest of $75,000.
Summary
The analyst is examining Bitcoin's price action against the critical $84,000 resistance level on CME Bitcoin futures. They note that Bitcoin attempted to break through this resistance last week but failed to close above it. The speaker emphasizes that a legitimate breakout is not merely a slight price movement above resistance, but requires actual acceleration in price movement. The analyst identifies an order block formation—described as a theoretical breaker block—which should theoretically trigger significant acceleration if Bitcoin successfully breaks through. The bullish scenario requires Bitcoin to exceed $90,000 to confirm a true breakout, with the ultimate target being the filling of a fair value gap (ferval gap) between $111,000 and $101,000 on CME, or roughly $98,000 to $105,000 on spot markets, suggesting Bitcoin could potentially revisit or exceed $100,000 before year-end. Conversely, if the resistance holds and this proves to be a fakeout (a liquidity grab), the analyst expects a reintegration that could trigger a retest of the $75,000 support level. The speaker identifies $75,000 as a critical level—if this support is broken, it would signal a shift to a new bearish dynamic and potentially initiate a broader market retracement. The analyst invites viewers to share their own market outlook.
Key Insights
- The analyst argues that a true breakout through $84,000 resistance requires acceleration in price movement, not just a slight closing above the level, supported by an order block formation.
- The speaker claims that if Bitcoin exceeds $90,000, it would confirm a legitimate breakout and could target the fair value gap between $111,000 and $101,000 by year-end.
- The analyst states that on spot markets, the same fair value gap translates to approximately $98,000-$105,000, suggesting Bitcoin could revisit $100,000 or exceed it by year-end.
- The speaker identifies $75,000 as the most important retest level, arguing that if this level breaks, it would form a new bearish dynamic and trigger broader market retracement.
- The analyst describes the potential failure at $84,000 as a 'fakeout' or liquidity grab that could lead to reintegration and the subsequent $75,000 support retest.
Topics
Transcript
[0:00] Alert, Bitcoin is trying to break the ultimate resistance of the be market. That's the resistance of the $84,000. Here, I'm looking at Bitcoin futures on the CME and we can see that we are currently trying to break through resistance. We can see that last week we failed to close above. A true breakout is not just a slight closing, it's really an acceleration because here we have what is called an order block. And an order block is theoretically a breaker block that could form. That's why we should see a big acceleration here. If we start to exceed $90,000, we could indeed confirm that we are [0:30] breaking through the resistance. And at that point, the…
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