Gold & Silver Warning! A Major Move Is Now Imminent | Chris Vermeulen
Technical analyst Chris Vermeulen discusses critical support levels for gold ($4,000) and silver ($60-61) over the next few weeks, which will determine whether precious metals continue higher to $8,600 and $175 respectively, or pull back to $3,600 and $40. He compares current market conditions to 2007 pre-crash dynamics, where stocks may have one final euphoric AI-driven rally before a broader financial reset, while metals consolidate before their next major move.
Summary
Chris Vermeulen from That Technical Traders presents a technical analysis of precious metals at a critical juncture. For gold, he identifies the $4,000 level as make-or-break support over the next couple of weeks. If gold holds this level, Fibonacci extensions suggest a long-term super cycle target of $8,600, representing a final euphoric move before potential financial reset. If gold breaks below $4,000, he expects a rapid 15% decline to $3,600. For silver, the critical level is $60-61 per ounce; holding this level suggests a move to $175, while a breakdown would mean a 40% haircut to $40 per ounce.
Vermeulen draws parallels to 2007 market dynamics, overlaying current gold and stock market charts to suggest we're at a similar inflection point where stocks may enjoy one final AI-bubble-fueled rally while precious metals consolidate and build a base. He emphasizes that the US dollar is at a critical juncture—if the dollar breaks out higher, metals will likely sell off; if the dollar gets rejected, gold and silver can move higher. He notes that money has been rotating out of metals into stocks, particularly AI-related equities.
Regarding geopolitics, Vermeulen acknowledges the potential resolution of the Strait of Hormuz conflict but emphasizes a significant lag effect: even as oil prices temporarily sell off due to deal optimism, the supply deficit and delayed oil replenishment mean prices will likely rebound to $87-90 and potentially higher. He argues this supply lag, combined with skyrocketing food prices (which consume ~40% of after-tax household income), indicates underlying economic weakness despite lower fuel costs.
On the Federal Reserve, Vermeulen notes increased uncertainty given the new administration's approach—expectations have shifted from rate cuts to potential hikes due to inflation and oil price pressures. He characterizes the current environment as one where traditional rules no longer apply and volatility will persist.
Vermeulen clarifies his investment approach: he is not a day trader but a portfolio manager who follows market signals, riding trends up and stepping aside when reversals appear. He sold precious metals at their January 2025 peak and is waiting for either a confirmed buy signal (new uptrend) or a sharp discount (30-50% pullback) to re-enter. He notes that gold and silver moving in lockstep with stocks indicates the metals are still in consolidation mode post-euphoria.
About this episode
Chris Vermeulen argues that gold and silver are at a critical turning point, with gold needing to hold the $4,000 level and silver needing to hold roughly $60 to $61 to preserve their bullish outlook short-term. He sees two possible paths ahead: either a final shakeout that sends gold toward $3,600 and silver toward $40, or a renewed advance that could eventually propel gold toward $8,600 and silver toward $175. Vermeulen believes the U.S. dollar is the key indicator to watch, as a strong dollar breakout could pressure precious metals lower in the near term. He also expects a final euphoric phase in AI driven equities before capital rotates back into gold and silver as investors seek safety during a broader financial reset. Despite having sold his own metals positions near the highs, he remains strongly bullish on precious metals over the long term and is waiting for either a deeper discount or a fresh technical buy signal before reentering. WEEKLY SPECIALS (while supplies last!) MS63 $20 Liberty: $150 over melt/coin 1 ounce silver rounds (condition varies): $1.49 over spot 100 ounce Engelhard silver bars: $3.15 over spot/oz CALL US: 1-888-81-LIBERTY (1-888-815-4237) or email your name and phone number to [email protected] INTERVIEW TIMELINE: 0:00 Intro 1:30 Gold/stock market divergence 9:00 Critical gold levels 12:45 Critical silver levels 18:00 War deal & markets 26:20 The changing tide _____________________________ Subscribe for our FREE newsletter - #1 place for gold & silver news & commentary: http://libertyandfinance.com _____________________________ CANADIANS CAN NOW BUY SILVER & GOLD ONLINE IN $CAD and support this channel! Go to https://mfbullion.ca, and during checkout under the dropdown selection “How did you hear of us (optional),” select: “LibertyAndFinance - Dunagun Kaiser” ! Social Media links YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/LibertyAndFinance Soundcloud: https://soundcloud.com/LibertyAndFinance Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/LibertyandFinance Brighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channels/dunagun Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/LibertyAndFinance/ X: https://x.com/DunagunKaiser Gettr: https://gettr.com/user/libertyandfinance Gab: https://gab.com/LibertyAndFinance Amazon podcasts: https://amzn.to/3SLyANx iHeart Radio: https://iheart.com/podcast/102551300/ Patreon: https://www.Patreon.com/LibertyAndFinance Donate to Support Our Mission! https://www.Patreon.com/LibertyAndFinance or https://www.paypal.me/ReluctantPreppers _____________________________ Liberty and Finance LLC receives financial compensation from its sponsors. The compensation is used is to fund both sponsor-specific activities and general report activities, website, and general and administrative costs. Sponsor-specific activities may include aggregating content and publishing that content on the Liberty and Finance website, creating and maintaining company landing pages, interviewing key management, posting a banner/billboard, and/or issuing press releases. The fees also cover the costs for Liberty and Finance to publish sector-specific information on our site, and also to create content by interviewing experts in the sector. Liberty and Finance LLC does accept stock for payment of sponsorship fees. Sponsor pages may be considered advertising for the purposes of 18 U.S.C. 1734. The Information presented in Liberty and Finance is provided for educational and informational purposes only, without any express or implied warranty of any kind, including warranties of accuracy, completeness, or fitness for any particular purpose. The Information contained in or provided from or through this forum is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice or any other advice. The Information on this forum and provided from or through this forum is general in nature and is not specific to you the User or anyone else. YOU SHOULD NOT MAKE ANY DECISION, FINANCIAL, INVESTMENTS, TRADING OR OTHERWISE, BASED ON ANY OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON THIS FORUM WITHOUT UNDERTAKING INDEPENDENT DUE DILIGENCE AND CONSULTATION WITH A PROFESSIONAL BROKER OR COMPETENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR. You understand that you are using any and all Information available on or through this forum AT YOUR OWN RISK. Some or all of this video description and timeline has been written by AI tool: https://chatgpt.com/ All Rights Reserved.
Key Insights
- Vermeulen argues that if gold holds the $4,000 support level, Fibonacci analysis indicates a long-term target of $8,600 representing one final euphoric super-cycle move, likely coinciding with broader financial instability; if gold breaks below $4,000, it will rapidly drop to $3,600, which he characterizes as actually bullish long-term by testing late entrants and returning price to pre-parabolic levels.
- Vermeulen compares current market structure (gold pullback while stocks rally) to 2007 pre-crash conditions, arguing the stock market is entering a final AI-bubble euphoria phase with one last big push before a potential 55% crash, after which money will rotate into precious metals for safety as the broader financial system destabilizes.
- Vermeulen states that the US dollar breaking out to new highs would cause gold and silver to sell off sharply and break the $4,000 and $60 support levels respectively, while a dollar rejection would allow precious metals to recover; he views the dollar's monthly bottoming formation as primed for a significant rally that poses the primary near-term headwind for metals.
- Vermeulen emphasizes that despite the Strait of Hormuz deal resolution, a significant lag effect means oil supply deficits will persist for months, and even lower pump prices won't materially help consumers since food—consuming 40% of after-tax household income—has skyrocketed due to fertilizer costs tied to fuel prices, indicating underlying economic weakness.
- Vermeulen describes his portfolio management as 'following the market' rather than trading—he sold precious metals at the January 2025 peak and will re-enter either when price action generates a confirmed uptrend buy signal or when metals fall 30-50% to provide a sharp discount, rejecting the need to time markets perfectly because technical signals allow rapid repositioning via ETFs within days.
Topics
Transcript
[0:00] We're at a very big turning [music] point. It's like make or break it for the next massive move in metals and stocks. >> You mentioned the $4,000 level being critical that gold holds that the next [music] couple weeks of trading could determine whether we go up or down in the short term. >> If [music] gold breaks below there, then I think we're going to see it hit 3,600 very quickly. I think it'll be a very quick drop. This 4,000 mark, I think is very very critical. Silver really needs to hold 60 or like $61 per ounce. But if [0:30] silver breaks $60 per ounce, we're probably going to have see a very [music] quick…
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