From the archive: Freedom without constraints: how the US squandered its cold war victory
Andrew Bacevich argues that the United States squandered its Cold War victory by pursuing unconstrained globalization, militarized hegemony, and an expansive but hollow conception of freedom. Rather than yielding peace and prosperity for all, the post-Cold War consensus produced inequality, perpetual war, social dysfunction, and the conditions that led to Trump's 2016 election. Bacevich contends that the deep societal schism exposed by Trump's rise predates him and will outlast his time in office.
Summary
Andrew Bacevich opens by expressing disappointment that the end of the Cold War failed to produce the peace and harmony many Americans expected. Instead, the post-Cold War era brought a succession of costly military conflicts and deepening social problems. He frames the Soviet collapse as a disorienting event: while the U.S. had clearly won, it was left without an enemy, without a coherent worldview, and without the disciplining framework the Cold War had provided.
Bacevich compares America's post-Cold War windfall to a lottery winner suddenly flush with cash — a situation requiring prudence and self-awareness but instead inviting recklessness. With the constraint of the Soviet threat removed, an intoxicated elite devised a four-part consensus: globalized neoliberalism (wealth creation through unconstrained capitalism), global leadership (militarized hegemony to police a U.S.-favorable world order), a radically expanded conception of individual freedom (autonomy without moral obligation), and a quasi-monarchical presidency elevated as the center of national life.
This consensus, Bacevich argues, was based on delusional premises. Globalization enriched some while fostering egregious inequality. Military hegemony produced endless wars rather than dominion. The new conception of freedom, exemplified by Supreme Court Justice Kennedy's formulation that liberty means the right to define one's own concept of existence, removed constraints without promoting the common good and carried a whiff of nihilism. Presidential exaltation yielded a succession of disappointments before culminating in Trump's 2016 election.
To illustrate the social costs of unconstrained freedom, Bacevich presents a sweeping catalogue of American dysfunction circa 2016: epidemic rates of depression, drug addiction, opioid overdoses, suicide, binge drinking, loneliness, incarceration, obesity, and declining social trust. He notes that the U.S. had fallen from 3rd to 13th in world happiness rankings between 2007 and 2016, and that life expectancy for white working-class men was declining — a trend without historical precedent. He argues that while freedom had expanded formally, it often manifested as alienation, compulsive consumption, and despair rather than genuine flourishing.
Bacevich is careful to argue that Trump did not create these conditions — he merely recognized and exploited them with unique skill. Trump functioned as a 'strategic sensor,' reading the grievances of those left behind by the post-Cold War order and positioning himself as their champion. The 2016 election, Bacevich contends, was a turning point comparable in significance to the fall of the Berlin Wall: a mass repudiation by ordinary Americans of a consensus that had served elites while failing them.
He concludes by identifying the deepest divide in American society as being between those who benefited from the post-Cold War trajectory and those who experienced it as decline and betrayal. This schism, rather than Trump's personal character, is what Bacevich believes merits the most serious attention, as it will persist long after Trump himself has left the political stage.
Key Insights
- Bacevich argues that the end of the Cold War removed a disciplining framework that had provided Americans with a shared sense of purpose and constrained both foreign adventurism and domestic excess, leaving the country without a coherent worldview.
- Bacevich contends that an intoxicated post-Cold War elite devised a four-part consensus — globalized neoliberalism, militarized hegemony, an expansive conception of individual freedom, and a quasi-monarchical presidency — that was built on delusional premises and has since been found wanting on all four counts.
- Bacevich argues that the post-Cold War conception of freedom, exemplified by Justice Kennedy's formulation granting individuals the right to define their own concept of existence, removed moral constraints without promoting virtue, community, or contentment, producing a society marked by nihilism and alienation.
- Bacevich presents extensive data to argue that by 2016, the United States exhibited signs of profound social dysfunction — including record opioid deaths, rising suicide rates, declining life expectancy among working-class white men, epidemic loneliness, and a fall from 3rd to 13th in world happiness rankings — suggesting that expanded formal freedom had not translated into genuine well-being.
- Bacevich argues that Trump did not create the conditions for his own rise; rather, the grievances he exploited had been festering for the quarter-century since the Cold War ended, and establishment politicians of both parties had remained deaf to them.
- Bacevich characterizes Trump as a uniquely skilled 'strategic sensor' rather than a strategic thinker — someone with an intuitive genius for reading the temper of aggrieved voters and stoking their grievances, rather than a person with any coherent policy alternative to the consensus he was repudiating.
- Bacevich argues that the 2016 presidential election was a historical turning point comparable in significance to the fall of the Berlin Wall, representing a mass repudiation by ordinary Americans of the post-Cold War consensus that had served elites while leaving many others behind.
- Bacevich concludes that the deepest and least reconcilable divide in America is between those who benefited from the post-Cold War trajectory and those who experienced it as decline and betrayal, and that this schism — not Trump's personal conduct — is what will define American politics long after Trump is gone.
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